In recent years, a comprehensive meta-analysis encompassing over 20 million births has reignited discussions about the potential relationship between cesarean section deliveries and the development of neurodevelopmental disorders such as autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). While the study identifies a statistical association, it’s crucial to delve deeper into the nuances of this finding to understand its implications fully.
What Are Autism and ADHD? Do C-Sections Cause Autism or ADHD?
Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) are neurodevelopmental disorders characterised by distinct patterns of behaviour and cognitive functioning. ASD primarily affects social interactions, communication skills, and behaviour, while ADHD is marked by persistent patterns of inattention and/or hyperactivity-impulsivity.
The exact causes of these disorders remain complex and multifactorial. Genetic factors play a significant role, but environmental influences, particularly during prenatal development, are also believed to contribute.

The Meta-Analysis: Key Findings
The meta-analysis in question pooled data from 61 studies, totalling over 20 million births, to examine the relationship between cesarean delivery and the subsequent diagnosis of ASD and ADHD. The results indicated that children born via cesarean section had a slightly increased risk of being diagnosed with these disorders compared to those born vaginally. Specifically, the odds ratios were:
- Autism: 1.33 (95% CI, 1.25–1.41)
- ADHD: 1.17 (95% CI, 1.07–1.26)
While these figures suggest an association, it’s essential to interpret them within the broader context of the study’s design and the nature of epidemiological research.
Correlation vs. Causation
One of the fundamental principles in scientific research is that correlation does not imply causation. The observed association between cesarean delivery and neurodevelopmental disorders does not establish that one causes the other. Several factors must be considered:
- Confounding Variables: Cesarean sections are more prevalent among certain populations, such as older mothers, those with higher body mass indices, and individuals with specific medical conditions. These factors themselves have been associated with an increased risk of ASD and ADHD, suggesting that the observed link may be due to these underlying variables rather than the mode of delivery.
- Lack of Mechanistic Understanding: The study does not provide a biological mechanism explaining how cesarean delivery might influence the development of ASD or ADHD. Without understanding the biological pathways involved, it’s challenging to draw definitive conclusions about causality.
- Study Design Limitations: While the meta-analysis included a vast number of births, it primarily relied on observational data. Such studies can identify associations but are limited in establishing cause-and-effect relationships due to potential biases and confounding factors.
Expert Perspectives
Leading experts in the field emphasise the importance of not over-interpreting the findings of such studies. Dr. James Findon, a Lecturer in Psychology at the Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, noted that while the study highlights an association, it does not suggest that cesarean sections cause neurodevelopmental disorders. He pointed out that sibling studies, which control for many confounding factors, have not found a causal link between cesarean delivery and autism.
Similarly, Prof. Kevin McConway, a professional statistician, cautioned against jumping to conclusions based on statistical associations without understanding the underlying mechanisms.
Implications for Clinical Practice
Given the current evidence, healthcare providers should continue to approach cesarean deliveries with the same clinical judgment as before. The decision to perform a cesarean section should be based on medical indications and the well-being of both the mother and the child. Expectant parents should engage in open discussions with their healthcare providers about the risks and benefits of different delivery methods, considering their unique circumstances.
It’s also important to note that the slight increase in the odds of ASD and ADHD associated with cesarean delivery, as reported in the study, is relatively small. For instance, an increase from a 1% to a 1.33% prevalence for autism is statistically significant but may not be of clinical importance.
Moving Forward: The Need for Further Research
While the current study adds to the body of knowledge, it also underscores the need for more research to understand the complex interplay between delivery methods and neurodevelopmental outcomes. Future studies should aim to:
- Investigate potential biological mechanisms linking cesarean delivery with neurodevelopmental disorders.
- Control for a broader range of confounding factors, including genetic predispositions and environmental exposures.
- Utilise longitudinal designs to track developmental outcomes over time.
Such research will be crucial in providing clearer insights and guiding evidence-based practices in obstetrics and pediatrics.

What the research says about the possible link between Cesarean delivery and autism or ADHD
A comprehensive global analysis involving more than 20 million births suggests a modest statistical association between cesarean (C-section) delivery and increased rates of two neurodevelopmental disorders–autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). This finding has caused concern for parents and medical professionals, but experts warn that correlation is not causation.
The study, published in the JAMA Network Open journal, synthesises the data of 61 studies that were conducted in 19 countries since 1999. The team of researchers, led by Tianyang Zhu of the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm, wanted to determine if children born through cesarean birth were at a higher risk for developing mental or neurological conditions.
The Study’s Findings
According to the study, children who were born by cesarean had a 33% higher risk of developing autism and 17% more chance of having ADHD than those who were born vaginally. This is how it looks in real life:
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Autism: The baseline rate of autism among vaginally born babies was about 0.8%. The rate of C-sections has increased by 33%, bringing it to approximately 1.0%.
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ADHD: Of the children born vaginally, 2.4% had ADHD. This rate is slightly raised to 2.8% by a 17% increase.
These increases, while statistically significant, are not evidence that cesarean section causes autism or ADHD.
Dr. Pankhuree Vandana, pediatric psychiatrist at Nationwide Children’s Hospital, Columbus, Ohio, who was not part of the study, said that “it’s not dramatic.” The risk is statistically significant but not very high from a population perspective. It is not proven that cesarean sections cause autism or ADHD.
Important Distinction: Correlation vs. Causation
It is important to understand that statistical associations do not necessarily mean one factor caused the other. Researchers and clinicians have consistently emphasised that C-sections are unlikely to cause neurodevelopmental disorders.
Tianyang Zhu, the study’s lead author, reiterated in a letter that “our study does not prove irrefutably that C-sections are linked to neuropsychiatric disorders.” He noted that cesareans were often performed due to pre-existing conditions in mothers, such as diabetes, hypertension or immune disorders, which could all affect fetal development.
To summarise, the factors that may lead a doctor to recommend cesarean delivery could also contribute to developmental problems. This makes it difficult to isolate the effect of the delivery method.
Why This Study is Still Important
The findings are still valuable despite these subtleties. The sheer volume of data – more than 20 million births were analysed – adds statistical weight to the findings and allows them to identify small trends that a smaller study might have missed.
17 out of 29 study groups assessed for autism showed an increase in risk that was significant enough to be considered meaningful. Only 5 out of 14 ADHD studies found statistically significant increases. However, these studies were larger, making their results more important.
It is interesting to note that the outcome was not affected by whether the cesarean section was planned (elective), or unplanned (emergency). In terms of ASD or ADHD prevalence, both scenarios were similar.
Researchers have also looked at possible links between cesarean birth and mental or developmental conditions, such as intellectual disabilities, OCD disorders, tic disorders and eating disorders. Despite some correlations, none of them reached statistical significance. This suggests that the connection could be a result of chance and not a true underlying cause. There was no link between depression and cesarean delivery.
Cesarean Deliveries: Overused or Undervalued?
Even though cesareans are life-saving in certain situations, such as in emergencies or complicated pregnancies, medical professionals are becoming increasingly concerned about their overuse. The study found that the rate of cesareans worldwide increased from 6% in 1990 up to 21% by 2015. This is a huge jump. The World Health Organisation suggests that a cesarean delivery rate between 10% and 15% is optimal, suggesting many procedures are unnecessary.
Beyond neurodevelopmental concerns, c-sections are already linked with a greater likelihood of children developing other health conditions, including:
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Obesity
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Allergies
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Childhood diabetes
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Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia is a form of cancerous blood and bone marrow
These associations fuel the debate on how to balance medical necessity and implications for public health.
What parents should know about HTML0
These findings may cause some concern if you are an expectant parent or have had a previous cesarean birth. Here’s what to keep in mind.
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The increase in risk for ADHD is small, from 2.4% to 2,8%. For autism, the actual increase is 0.8%. The vast majority of cesarean babies do not have these conditions.
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Cesareans can be performed to protect mother and child. Vaginal births are often more dangerous than cesareans.
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There are no biological mechanisms that explain how cesarean birth would have a direct impact on brain development and cause autism or ADHD.
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Other risk factors may play a larger role, such as maternal age, obesity, diabetes, and autoimmune disorders–conditions that also influence the decision to perform a C-section.
The method of delivery, in short, is only one part of a larger puzzle. Parents should discuss their options with their healthcare provider. They should consider their medical history as well as the circumstances of their pregnancy.

What comes next?
The study’s authors call for more research on the biological and environment factors that could contribute to neurodevelopmental disorders. Future studies should focus on:
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Differences between hormonal and microbiological exposure between vaginal and cesarean birth
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Influence of prenatal conditions on neurodevelopment
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Possible interactions between genes and the environment that may affect brain development during pregnancy
This research can provide more answers to pregnant families and guide them towards a personalised, evidence-based approach.
Conclusion
In summary, while a large-scale meta-analysis has identified a modest association between cesarean section deliveries and an increased risk of autism and ADHD, this finding does not establish causation. The observed link is likely influenced by various confounding factors, and without understanding the underlying biological mechanisms, it’s premature to draw definitive conclusions. Expectant parents and healthcare providers should rely on current medical guidelines and individualised assessments when making decisions about delivery methods, ensuring that the health and safety of both mother and child remain the top priority.